The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colorado Rockies 40%
Cincinnati Reds 60%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colorado Rockies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colorado Rockies's form might have worsened.
Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati Reds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rockies than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colorado Rockies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati Reds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
0%
53.8%
Colorado Rockies - Cincinnati Reds Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:7
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Lineups
Batters
31. McCarthy J.
44. De la Cruz E.
22. Moniak M.
27. Stewart S.
15. Goodman H.
22. Bleday JJ
7. Rumfield T.
7. Steer S.
3. Castro W.
31. Lowe N.
12. Karros K.
28. Suarez E.
20. Johnston T.
37. Stephenson T.
2. Freeman T.
29. Friedl T.
6. Julien E.
17. Myers D.
Pitchers
18. Feltner R.
21. Greene H.
Coaches
. Schaeffer W.
. Francona T.
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 81:133. (average 4.1:6.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:69. (average 4:7.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Rockies - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 45.12%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Cincinnati Reds - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.88%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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McCarthy J. 
De la Cruz E. 
Castro W. 
Suarez E. 
Julien E. 
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