Match Info
NPBDate: 10 September 2026, ThursdayLocation: PayPay Dome (Fukuoka)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV! |
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks |
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.65 |
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2.15 |
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 |
1.62 |
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2.25 |
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 |
1.75 |
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2.1 |
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1.81 |
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2.11 |
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 Watch |
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1.78 |
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2.08 |
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1.74 |
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2.16 |
Watch |
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1.72 |
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2.13 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.64) |
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2.14 ↓
(2.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
55.4% | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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31.  Masaki T.
| 21. Kiyomiya K.
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23. Shuto U.
| 3. Gunji Y.
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3. Kondoh K.
| 99.  Reyes F.
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24. Kurihara R.
| 5. Nomura Y.
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9. Yanagita Y.
| 61. Imagawa Y.
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5. Yamakawa H.
| 43. Mizuno T.
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8. Makihara T.
| 6. Castro C.
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0. Kawase H.
| 33. Shinto Y.
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62. Umino T.
| 58. Narama T.
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| Pitchers |
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49. Matsumoto H.
| 14. Katoh T.
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| Coaches |
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. Kokubo H.
| . Shinjo T.
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukuoka won 2.Fukuoka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Hokkaido's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Hokkaido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Fukuoka has had a series of home games.Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of away games. Fukuoka might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fukuoka won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 126:69. (average 6.3:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, Fukuoka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 57:23. (average 7.1:2.9).
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Outrights of NPB for now
Fukuoka S. Hawks: 26.52% Nippon Ham Fighters: 13.26%
Last Results with these Odds
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.07%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NPB | | | 09.09.26 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 5:4 | | 08.09.26 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters | 14:1 | | 02.09.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 1:1 | | 01.09.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 2:1 | | 20.08.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 5:5 | | 19.08.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 8:7 | | 18.08.26 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 1:7 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
