Match Info

MLB

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	Braves Vision, ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Houston Astros		Atlanta Braves

	1	2
	1.58	2.3	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.63	2.27
	1.64	2.45
			Watch
	1.62	2.4
	1.69	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	2.33 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Astros
58.8%

Atlanta Braves
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atlanta Braves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Braves than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Pena J.	30. Baldwin D.
44. Alvarez Y.	13. Acuna Jr. R.
15. Paredes I.	28. Olson M.
27. Altuve J.	23. Harris M.
21. Diaz Y.	14. Dubon M.
8. Walker C.	1. Albies O.
11. Smith C.	18. Yastrzemski M.
20. Allen N.	53. Hicklen B.
0. Matthews B.	7. Kim Ha-Seong
Pitchers
58. Brown H.	33. Perez M.
Coaches
. Espada J.	. Weiss W.

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Houston may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Houston has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Atlanta has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Houston has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 91:94 (averaging 4.6:4.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Houston against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 23:44 goals (averaging 3.3:6.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Astros - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Astros
MLB
19.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	3:6 ✺
18.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	2:6 ✺
17.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	6:2 ✺
16.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	2:5 ✺
15.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Atlanta Braves
MLB
19.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	3:6 ✺
18.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	2:6 ✺
16.09.26	Chicago Cubs - Atlanta Braves	8:4 ✺
15.09.26	Chicago Cubs - Atlanta Braves	3:6 ✺
14.09.26	Chicago Cubs - Atlanta Braves	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
19.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	3:6
18.09.26	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	2:6
14.09.25	Atlanta Braves - Houston Astros	8:3
13.09.25	Atlanta Braves - Houston Astros	2:6
12.09.25	Atlanta Braves - Houston Astros	3:11
17.04.24	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	4:5
16.04.24	Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves	2:6

Houston Astros - Atlanta Braves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide