Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Brazil	ESPN 6
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	Braves Vision, ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Houston Astros		Kansas City Royals

	1	2
	1.62	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.68	2.20
	1.70	2.34
			Watch
	1.69	2.25
	1.72	2.28	Watch
	1.65	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Astros
57.4%

Kansas City Royals
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kansas City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 9:1

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Lineups

Batters
3. Pena J.	22. Jensen C.
44. Alvarez Y.	7. Witt B.
15. Paredes I.	14. Caglianone J.
27. Altuve J.	11. Garcia M.
21. Diaz Y.	19. Massey M.
18. Varsho D.	13. Perez S.
26. Trammell T.	16. Rave J.
11. Smith C.	28. Isbel K.
31. Wade L.	1. Collins I.
Pitchers
66. Ullola M.	67. Lugo S.
Coaches
. Espada J.	. Quatraro M.

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.

Houston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kansas City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Kansas City has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 78:90. (average 3.9:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:36. (average 4.1:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Astros
MLB
16.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	2:5 ✺
15.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	14:4 ✺
12.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Kansas City Royals
MLB
16.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	2:5 ✺
15.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	Boston Red Sox - Kansas City Royals	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	2:5
15.09.26	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	4:2
14.06.26	Kansas City Royals - Houston Astros	4:0
13.06.26	Kansas City Royals - Houston Astros	7:8
12.06.26	Kansas City Royals - Houston Astros	8:10
14.05.25	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	4:3
13.05.25	Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals	2:1

Houston Astros - Kansas City Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide