Match Info

MLB

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Houston Astros		Boston Red Sox

	1	2
	2.3	1.65	Watch
	2.18	1.68
	2.32	1.7
			Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.24	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.19)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Astros
42.7%

Boston Red Sox
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Boston Red Sox has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Boston will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
27. Altuve J.	16. Duran J.
44. Alvarez Y.	10. Story T.
15. Paredes I.	7. Yoshida M.
1. Correa C.	40. Contreras W.
8. Walker C.	52. Abreu W.
11. Smith C.	5. Durbin C.
6. Meyers J.	3. Rafaela C.
0. Matthews B.	2. Kiner-Falefa I.
2. Vazquez C.	12. Wong C.
Pitchers
50. Burrows M.	35. Crochet G.
Coaches
. Espada J.	. Cora A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 4.

Houston is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boston has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.

Recently, Boston has had a series of away games.

Boston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 107:101. (average 5.4:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 53:65. (average 4.8:5.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Astros - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 44.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Astros
MLB
31.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	9:2 ✺
30.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	8:1 ✺
29.03.26	Houston Astros - Los Angeles Angels	9:7 ✺
28.03.26	Houston Astros - Los Angeles Angels	11:9 ✺
27.03.26	Houston Astros - Los Angeles Angels	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL
- Boston Red Sox
MLB
31.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	9:2 ✺
30.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	8:1 ✺
29.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Boston Red Sox	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Boston Red Sox	6:5 ✺
26.03.26	Cincinnati Reds - Boston Red Sox	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
31.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	9:2
30.03.26	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	8:1
13.08.25	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	4:1
12.08.25	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	1:14
11.08.25	Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox	7:6
03.08.25	Boston Red Sox - Houston Astros	6:1
02.08.25	Boston Red Sox - Houston Astros	7:3

Houston Astros - Boston Red Sox: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide