Match Info
MLBDate: 22 July 2026, WednesdayLocation: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Houston Astros |
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Miami Marlins |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.86 |
|
1.86 |
 Watch |
 |
1.91 |
|
1.91 |
|
 |
1.84 |
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1.97 |
|
 |
1.94 |
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2.02 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.88 |
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2.00 |
Watch |
 |
1.89 |
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2.04 |
Watch |
 |
1.90 |
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1.91 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.84) |
|
1.96 ↓
(2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Astros
50.9% | Miami Marlins
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Astros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-1.2%)Houston Astros - Miami Marlins Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 9.5, OT - under (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Houston Astros will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
3.  Pena J.
| 6.  Lopez O.
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44.  Alvarez Y.
| 28.  Stowers K.
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15.  Paredes I.
| 13. Hernandez H.
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31. Wade L.
| 9. Edwards X.
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21. Diaz Y.
| 34. Hicks L.
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8. Walker C.
| 18. Conine G.
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28. Spence L.
| 8.  Sanoja J.
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20. Allen N.
| 80. Mack J.
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2.  Vazquez C.
| 3. Ruiz E.
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| Pitchers |
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38. Lambert P.
| 22. Alcantara S.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Espada J.
| . McCullough C.
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Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 5.Houston has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Miami is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.Recently, Miami has had a series of away games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 103:52. (average 5.2:2.6).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:35. (average 4.5:3.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 21.07.26 | Houston Astros - Miami Marlins | 5:3 | | 20.07.26 | Houston Astros - Miami Marlins | 8:5 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 15.03.26 | Houston Astros - Miami Marlins | 1:0 | | 11.03.26 | Miami Marlins - Houston Astros | 1:4 | | 07.03.26 | Houston Astros - Miami Marlins | 5:4 | | 05.03.26 | Miami Marlins - Houston Astros | 2:0 | | 25.02.26 | Miami Marlins - Houston Astros | 1:4 |
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