Match Info
MLBDate: 4 June 2026, ThursdayLocation: Daikin Park (Houston, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Houston Astros |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.87 |
|
1.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.87 |
|
1.95 |
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 |
1.88 |
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1.92 |
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 |
1.93 |
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2.05 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.85 |
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1.91 |
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 |
1.89 |
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2.03 |
Watch |
 |
1.89 |
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1.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.91) |
|
1.96 ↑
(1.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Houston Astros
51% | Pittsburgh Pirates
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)The ML Model estimate for Houston Astros aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for Pittsburgh Pirates aligns with the current prediction.Houston Astros - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 58.6% – 97%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 8.5, OT - under (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
3.  Pena J.
| 2.  Horwitz S.
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44.  Alvarez Y.
| 5.  Lowe B.
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8. Walker C.
| 10. Reynolds B.
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15.  Paredes I.
| 29. O'Hearn R.
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31. Wade L.
| 3. Gonzales N.
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11. Smith C.
| 15. Cruz O.
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26. Trammell T.
| 13. Rodriguez E.
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37. Price C.
| 28. Mangum J.
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20. Allen N.
| 19. Triolo J.
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| Pitchers |
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17.  Teng Kai-Wei
| 17. Jones J.
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| Coaches |
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.  Espada J.
| . Kelly D.
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Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.In recent matches, Houston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Pittsburgh is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Houston has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 95:105. (average 4.8:5.3).Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 49:78. (average 4.5:7.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 03.06.26 | Houston Astros - Pittsburgh Pirates | 11:9 | | 02.06.26 | Houston Astros - Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:10 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 17.03.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Houston Astros | 2:10 | | 28.02.26 | Houston Astros - Pittsburgh Pirates | 2:5 | | MLB | | | 05.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Houston Astros | 2:8 | | 04.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Houston Astros | 3:0 | | 03.06.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Houston Astros | 0:3 |
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