Match Info
MLBDate: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Kauffman Stadium (Kansas City, MO)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Kansas City Royals |
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Cleveland Guardians |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.77 |
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2.1 |
 Watch |
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1.76 |
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2.07 |
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 |
1.84 |
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2.17 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.71 |
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2.15 |
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1.74 |
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2.24 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.69) |
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2.15 ↓
(2.22) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kansas City Royals
54.9% | Cleveland Guardians
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Cleveland will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 42.8% – 90.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cleveland Guardians will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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11.  Garcia M.
| 38.  Kwan S.
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7. Witt B.
| 24. DeLauter C.
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9.  Pasquantino V.
| 11.  Ramirez J.
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13. Perez S.
| 9. Manzardo K.
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22. Jensen C.
| 10. Schneemann D.
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14. Caglianone J.
| 37.  Bazzana T.
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1. Collins I.
| 4. Rocchio B.
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19. Massey M.
| 23.  Naylor B.
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28. Isbel K.
| 0. Halpin P.
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| Pitchers |
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67.  Lugo S.
| 44. Cecconi S.
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| Coaches |
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. Quatraro M.
| . Vogt S.
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Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 3.Kansas City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Cleveland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Cleveland has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 61:85. (average 3.1:4.3).Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:38. (average 4:3.8).
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Last Results with these Odds
Kansas City Royals - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.74%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Cleveland Guardians - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 06.05.26 | Kansas City Royals - Cleveland Guardians | 1:3 | | 05.05.26 | Kansas City Royals - Cleveland Guardians | 5:3 | | 04.05.26 | Kansas City Royals - Cleveland Guardians | 6:2 | | 08.04.26 | Cleveland Guardians - Kansas City Royals | 10:2 | | 07.04.26 | Cleveland Guardians - Kansas City Royals | 2:1 | | 06.04.26 | Cleveland Guardians - Kansas City Royals | 2:4 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 09.03.26 | Kansas City Royals - Cleveland Guardians | 2:6 |
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