Match Info

MLB

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	NESN
World	MLB.TV


	Miami Marlins		Arizona Diamondbacks

	1	2
	1.77	2.10	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.80	2.02
	1.82	2.13
			Watch
	1.80	2.00
	1.84	2.10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)	2.07 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Miami Marlins
53.4%

Arizona Diamondbacks
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Arizona Diamondbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Diamondbacks than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Arizona will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arizona: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 50%). Arizona (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

#ad

Lineups

Batters
34. Hicks L.	4. Marte K.
6. Lopez O.	7. Carroll C.
28. Stowers K.	14. Moreno G.
9. Edwards X.	28. Arenado N.
8. Sanoja J.	2. Perdomo G.
17. Caissie O.	16. Groover L.
87. Marsee J.	9. Troy T.
80. Mack J.	35. Garcia A.
3. Ruiz E.	1. Barrosa J.
Pitchers
30. Phillips T.	29. Kelly M.
Coaches
. McCullough C.	. Lovullo T.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 5.

Miami is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arizona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 95:92. (average 4.8:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:58. (average 4.6:5.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Marlins - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Marlins
MLB
10.06.26	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	8:0 ✺
09.06.26	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	10:6 ✺
07.06.26	Miami Marlins - Tampa Bay Rays	4:1 ✺
06.06.26	Miami Marlins - Tampa Bay Rays	4:3 ✺
05.06.26	Miami Marlins - Tampa Bay Rays	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL
- Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB
10.06.26	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	8:0 ✺
09.06.26	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	10:6 ✺
07.06.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - Washington Nationals	5:1 ✺
06.06.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - Washington Nationals	1:6 ✺
05.06.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - Washington Nationals	1:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
10.06.26	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	8:0
09.06.26	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	10:6
29.06.25	Arizona Diamondbacks - Miami Marlins	4:6
28.06.25	Arizona Diamondbacks - Miami Marlins	7:8
27.06.25	Arizona Diamondbacks - Miami Marlins	8:9
17.04.25	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	4:6
16.04.25	Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks	2:6

Miami Marlins - Arizona Diamondbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide