Match Info

MLB

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Miami Marlins		Cleveland Guardians

	1	2
	1.82	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.92	1.87
	1.96	1.98
			Watch
	1.92	1.96
	1.95	1.97	Watch
	1.88	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Marlins
50.5%

Cleveland Guardians
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cleveland will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5, OT - under (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5

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Lineups

Batters
6. Lopez O.	37. Bazzana T.
13. Hernandez H.	4. Rocchio B.
34. Hicks L.	24. DeLauter C.
9. Edwards X.	9. Manzardo K.
8. Sanoja J.	31. Watson K.
19. Jimenez L.	13. Arias G.
3. Ruiz E.	0. Halpin P.
57. Hinds R.	16. Bailey P.
64. Navarreto B.	38. Kwan S.
Pitchers
30. Phillips T.	54. Cantillo J.
Coaches
. McCullough C.	. Vogt S.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.

Recently, Cleveland has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 68:92. (average 3.4:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 2.2:4.2).

Outrights of MLB for now

Cleveland Guardians: 12.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Cleveland Guardians - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 49.01%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Marlins
MLB
11.07.26	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	1:4 ✺
10.07.26	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	2:3 ✺
09.07.26	Miami Marlins - Seattle Mariners	8:4 ✺
08.07.26	Miami Marlins - Seattle Mariners	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Miami Marlins - Seattle Mariners	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWW
- Cleveland Guardians
MLB
11.07.26	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	1:4 ✺
10.07.26	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	2:3 ✺
09.07.26	Minnesota Twins - Cleveland Guardians	2:5 ✺
08.07.26	Minnesota Twins - Cleveland Guardians	6:5 ✺
07.07.26	Minnesota Twins - Cleveland Guardians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
11.07.26	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	1:4
10.07.26	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	2:3
14.08.25	Cleveland Guardians - Miami Marlins	9:4
13.08.25	Cleveland Guardians - Miami Marlins	4:13
12.08.25	Cleveland Guardians - Miami Marlins	4:3
09.06.24	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	3:6
08.06.24	Miami Marlins - Cleveland Guardians	0:8

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