Match Info

MLB

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	MLB.TV


	Minnesota Twins		Toronto Blue Jays

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.9	1.9
	1.97	1.97
			Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Twins
49.9%

Toronto Blue Jays
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Twins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Toronto Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Twins than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
25. Buxton B.	24. Pinango Y.
9. Larnach T.	7. Okamoto K.
16. Martin A.	27. Guerrero Jr. V.
37. Caratini V.	12. Sanchez J.
15. Keaschall L.	50. Sosa L.
2. Clemens K.	5. Varsho D.
23. Lewis R.	22. Clement E.
38. Wallner M.	0. Gimenez A.
22. Lee B.	55. Heineman T.
Pitchers
41. Ryan J.	39. Yesavage T.
Coaches
. Shelton D.	. Schneider J.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.

Minnesota has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toronto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 81:101. (average 4.1:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:51. (average 3.2:4.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Twins - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50.44%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Twins
MLB
02.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	3:7 ✺
01.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	3:7 ✺
30.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	7:1 ✺
29.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Seattle Mariners	3:5 ✺
28.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Seattle Mariners	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Toronto Blue Jays
MLB
02.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	3:7 ✺
01.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	3:7 ✺
30.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	7:1 ✺
29.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	8:1 ✺
28.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Boston Red Sox	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
02.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	3:7
01.05.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	3:7
30.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	7:1
12.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Minnesota Twins	2:8
11.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Minnesota Twins	4:7
10.04.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Minnesota Twins	10:4
MLB Spring Training
20.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays	1:2

Minnesota Twins - Toronto Blue Jays: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide