The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Mets 49.5%
Atlanta Braves 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
59%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
57.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Mets's performance.
Atlanta Braves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta Braves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Mets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Braves than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta Braves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
New York Mets - Atlanta Braves Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Atlanta will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Mets: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
9. Ewing A.
13. Acuna Jr. R.
12. Lindor F.
30. Baldwin D.
19. Bichette B.
28. Olson M.
3. Benge C.
1. Albies O.
29. Young J.
23. Harris M.
11. Polanco J.
14. Dubon M.
28. Taylor T.
27. Riley A.
7. Baty B.
36. White E.
4. Alvarez F.
16. Bart J.
Pitchers
59. Manaea S.
32. Smith-Shawver A.
Coaches
. Green A.
. Weiss W.
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, NY Mets has had a series of home games.
Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
Atlanta could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 117:104. (average 5.9:5.2).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 69:45. (average 6.3:4.1).
Last Results with these Odds
New York Mets - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Atlanta Braves - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 59.02%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Canada
Netherlands
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Ewing A. 
Acuna Jr. R. 
Lindor F. 
Albies O. 
Young J. 
Polanco J. 
Dubon M. 
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