Match Info

MLB

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	ESPN 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	Braves Vision, NBC Sports California, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		Baltimore Orioles

	1	2
	1.79	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.98
	1.87	1.94
	1.95	2.01
			Watch
	1.91	1.99
	1.92	2	Watch
	1.87	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.77)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
51.3%

Baltimore Orioles
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Baltimore Orioles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Baltimore will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
12. Lindor F.	12. Beavers D.
22. Soto J.	25. Alonso P.
19. Bichette B.	2. Henderson G.
3. Benge C.	16. Mayo C.
29. Young J.	32. Encarnacion-Strand C.
10. Semien M.	29. Basallo S.
9. Ewing A.	82. Jackson J.
7. Baty B.	62. Hinds R.
13. Torrens L.	17. Cowser C.
Pitchers
53. Curry X.	40. Bassitt C.
Coaches
. Green A.	. Albernaz C.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 1.

NY Mets is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baltimore has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Baltimore has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 95:110. (average 4.8:5.5).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:44. (average 4.2:4.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Baltimore Orioles - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 45.49%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
15.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	5:7 ✺
14.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	New York Yankees - New York Mets	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	New York Yankees - New York Mets	2:12 ✺
11.09.26	New York Yankees - New York Mets	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWL
- Baltimore Orioles
MLB
15.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	5:7 ✺
14.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Baltimore Orioles	8:1 ✺
12.09.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Baltimore Orioles	7:3 ✺
11.09.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Baltimore Orioles	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
15.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	5:7
14.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	1:2
10.07.25	Baltimore Orioles - New York Mets	7:3
10.07.25	Baltimore Orioles - New York Mets	3:1
08.07.25	Baltimore Orioles - New York Mets	6:7
21.08.24	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	4:3
20.08.24	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	5:9

New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide