Match Info
MLBDate: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Citi Field (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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New York Mets |
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Boston Red Sox |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
|
1.82 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
|
1.87 |
|
 |
1.91 |
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1.91 |
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 |
2.01 |
|
1.94 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.99 |
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1.89 |
Watch |
 |
1.98 |
|
1.94 |
Watch |
 |
1.94 |
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1.87 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.01) |
|
1.89 ↑
(1.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New York Mets
49.2% | Boston Red Sox
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Boston Red Sox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Red Sox than the current prediction. (-0.1%)New York Mets - Boston Red Sox Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Boston will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1, OT - Boston (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
9.  Ewing A.
| 48. Seigler A.
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22.  Soto J.
| 3.  Rafaela C.
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12.  Lindor F.
| 52.  Abreu W.
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39. Wagaman E.
| 23. Gonzalez R.
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3. Benge C.
| 5. Durbin C.
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28. Taylor T.
| 32. Monasterio A.
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13. Torrens L.
| 16.  Duran J.
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7. Baty B.
| 18.  Eaton N.
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40. Short Z.
| 12. Wong C.
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| Pitchers |
|---|
49. Thornton Z.
| 70. Tolle P.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Green A.
| . Tracy C.
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Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 1.NY Mets has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Boston is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).Recently, NY Mets has had a series of home games.Recently, Boston has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. We predict that Boston will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 69:83. (average 3.5:4.2).Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 3.1:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Boston Red Sox - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 52.19%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 11.07.26 | New York Mets - Boston Red Sox | 0:4 | | 10.07.26 | New York Mets - Boston Red Sox | 2:6 | | 21.05.25 | Boston Red Sox - New York Mets | 1:5 | | 20.05.25 | Boston Red Sox - New York Mets | 2:0 | | 19.05.25 | Boston Red Sox - New York Mets | 3:1 | | MLB Spring Training | | | 13.03.25 | New York Mets - Boston Red Sox | 2:3 | | 02.03.25 | Boston Red Sox - New York Mets | 6:4 |
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