Match Info

MLB

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		Detroit Tigers

	1	2
	1.63	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.33
	1.69	2.37
			Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.66	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
58.8%

Detroit Tigers
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Detroit Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

New York Mets - Detroit Tigers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Benge C.	7. McGonigle K.
19. Bichette B.	33. Keith C.
22. Soto J.	31. Greene R.
27. Vientos M.	13. Dingler D.
1. Melendez M.	99. Workman G.
7. Baty B.	39. McKinstry Z.
10. Semien M.	20. Torkelson S.
9. Ewing A.	46. Perez W.
30. Senger H.	34. Rogers J.
Pitchers
26. McLean N.	54. Montero K.
Coaches
. Mendoza C.	. Hinch A. J.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 4.

In recent matches, NY Mets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Detroit is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Detroit has had a series of away games.

NY Mets could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 98:91. (average 4.9:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:37. (average 4.1:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Mets - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Detroit Tigers - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
13.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	3:2 ✺
12.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	10:2 ✺
10.05.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets	5:1 ✺
09.05.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - New York Mets	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Detroit Tigers
MLB
13.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	3:2 ✺
12.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	10:2 ✺
10.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Detroit Tigers	3:6 ✺
09.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Detroit Tigers	5:1 ✺
08.05.26	Kansas City Royals - Detroit Tigers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
13.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	3:2
12.05.26	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	10:2
03.09.25	Detroit Tigers - New York Mets	6:2
02.09.25	Detroit Tigers - New York Mets	5:12
01.09.25	Detroit Tigers - New York Mets	8:10
04.04.24	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	2:1
04.04.24	New York Mets - Detroit Tigers	3:6

New York Mets - Detroit Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide