The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Yankees 52.4%
Baltimore Orioles 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Yankees has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Baltimore Orioles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
New York Yankees - Baltimore Orioles Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. NY Yankees will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Baltimore will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Yankees: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
12. Beavers D.
25. Alonso P.
2. Henderson G.
16. Mayo C.
32. Encarnacion-Strand C.
17. Cowser C.
82. Jackson J.
13. Kjerstad H.
75. Narvaez C.
Pitchers
76. Rodriguez E.
34. Baz S.
Coaches
. Boone A.
. Albernaz C.
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 4.
NY Yankees has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Baltimore is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
NY Yankees may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, NY Yankees has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Yankees has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 104:56 (averaging 5.2:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY Yankees against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 67:31 goals (averaging 6.7:3.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Baltimore Orioles - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 44.29%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.