Match Info

MLB

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	Philadelphia Phillies		Chicago Cubs

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.12
	1.76	2.22
			Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.76	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
55.7%

Chicago Cubs
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Chicago Cubs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chi Cubs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Chicago Cubs will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
7. Turner T.	2. Hoerner N.
12. Schwarber K.	3. Bregman A.
3. Harper B.	27. Suzuki S.
53. Garcia A.	8. Happ I.
33. Sosa E.	29. Busch M.
10. Realmuto J.T.	7. Swanson D.
28. Bohm A.	9. Amaya M.
16. Marsh B.	4. Crow-Armstrong P.
4. Kemp O.	6. Shaw M.
Pitchers
44. Luzardo J.	18. Imanaga S.
Coaches
. Thomson R.	. Counsell C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 108:95. (average 5.4:4.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 66:62. (average 6:5.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 55.24%, but this team recently wins 49% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
14.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	4:10 ✺
13.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	13:7 ✺
12.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks	3:4 ✺
11.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks	4:3 ✺
10.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Arizona Diamondbacks	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Chicago Cubs
MLB
14.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	4:10 ✺
13.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	13:7 ✺
12.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:6 ✺
11.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:4 ✺
10.04.26	Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
14.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	4:10
13.04.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	13:7
11.06.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	7:2
10.06.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	4:8
09.06.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs	4:3
27.04.25	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	1:3
26.04.25	Chicago Cubs - Philadelphia Phillies	4:10

Philadelphia Phillies - Chicago Cubs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide