Match Info
MLBDate: 25 September 2025, ThursdayLocation: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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Miami Marlins |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies
59.1% | Miami Marlins
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Miami Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Miami will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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2.  Bader H.
| 87. Marsee J.
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12. Schwarber K.
| 50.  Ramirez A.
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3. Harper B.
| 9. Edwards X.
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28. Bohm A.
| 34. Hicks L.
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16. Marsh B.
| 6.  Lopez O.
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10. Realmuto J.T.
| 18. Conine G.
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17.  Kepler M.
| 1. Norby C.
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5. Stott B.
| 75. Johnston T.
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33.  Sosa E.
| 21. Pauley G.
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| Pitchers |
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31. Buehler W.
| 26. Junk J.
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| Coaches |
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. Thomson R.
| . McCullough C.
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Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.Philadelphia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Miami is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Miami has had a series of away games. Philadelphia might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 115:91. (average 5.8:4.6).Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 57:45. (average 6.3:5).
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Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 59.75%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 24.09.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins | 11:1 | | 23.09.25 | Philadelphia Phillies - Miami Marlins | 5:6 | | 07.09.25 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 5:4 | | 06.09.25 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 2:4 | | 05.09.25 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 3:9 | | 19.06.25 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 1:2 | | 18.06.25 | Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies | 2:4 |
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