The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies 74.9%
Washington Nationals 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.5%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Washington Nationals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
0%
46.2%
Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Washington will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Washington (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:4
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Lineups
Batters
12. Schwarber K.
3. Crews D.
7. Turner T.
87. Chaparro A.
3. Harper B.
12. House B.
4. Arraez L.
5. Abrams C.
28. Bohm A.
17. Ford H.
16. Marsh B.
45. Pinckney A.
10. Realmuto J.T.
30. Young J.
5. Stott B.
26. Nunez N.
2. Crawford J.
20. Ruiz K.
Pitchers
61. Sanchez C.
36. Mikolas M.
Coaches
. Mattingly D.
. Butera B.
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
Philadelphia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Washington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.
In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 102:94. (average 5.1:4.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:51. (average 4.4:4.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 71.47%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
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Schwarber K. 
Chaparro A. 
Ford H. 
Sanchez C. 
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