Match Info
MLBDate: 6 August 2026, ThursdayLocation: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 5 |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Philadelphia Phillies |
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Washington Nationals |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.26 |
|
3.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.28 |
|
3.8 |
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 |
1.27 |
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3.76 |
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 |
1.31 |
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3.99 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.26 |
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3.9 |
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 |
1.31 |
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3.86 |
Watch |
 |
1.28 |
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3.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.35) |
|
3.82 ↑
(3.39) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies
74.9% | Washington Nationals
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Washington Nationals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Washington will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 26.7% – 80.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Nationals will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:4 
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Lineups
| Batters |
|---|
12.  Schwarber K.
| 3. Crews D.
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7. Turner T.
| 87.  Chaparro A.
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3. Harper B.
| 12. House B.
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4. Arraez L.
| 5. Abrams C.
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28. Bohm A.
| 17.  Ford H.
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16. Marsh B.
| 45. Pinckney A.
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10. Realmuto J.T.
| 30. Young J.
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5. Stott B.
| 26. Nunez N.
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2. Crawford J.
| 20. Ruiz K.
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| Pitchers |
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61.  Sanchez C.
| 36. Mikolas M.
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| Coaches |
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. Mattingly D.
| . Butera B.
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Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.Philadelphia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Washington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Washington has had a series of away games. In this match, Philadelphia is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 102:94. (average 5.1:4.7).Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:51. (average 4.4:4.6).
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Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 71.47%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 05.08.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals | 4:10 | | 04.08.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals | 5:0 | | 03.08.26 | Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals | 6:3 | | 25.06.26 | Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies | 5:10 | | 24.06.26 | Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies | 4:5 | | 23.06.26 | Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies | 9:14 | | 22.06.26 | Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies | 4:1 |
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