Match Info

MLB

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
World	MLB.TV


	Baltimore Orioles		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.18	1.68
	2.29	1.73
			Watch
	2.25	1.69	Watch
	2.27	1.72	Watch
	2.22	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltimore Orioles
43.2%

Philadelphia Phillies
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Phillies will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
12. Beavers D.	7. Turner T.
25. Alonso P.	12. Schwarber K.
2. Henderson G.	3. Harper B.
3. Ward T.	28. Bohm A.
7. Holliday J.	16. Marsh B.
33. Encarnacion-Strand C.	10. Realmuto J.T.
30. Taveras L.	5. Stott B.
17. Cowser C.	2. Crawford J.
28. Rogers T.	41. De La Cruz B.
Pitchers
38. Bradish K.	45. Wheeler Z.
Coaches
. Albernaz C.	. Mattingly D.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 3.

Baltimore has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Philadelphia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baltimore won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 108:108. (average 5.4:5.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Baltimore won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:40. (average 6.7:4.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Baltimore Orioles - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 45.34%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltimore Orioles
MLB
01.08.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	0:5 ✺
31.07.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	6:4 ✺
29.07.26	Detroit Tigers - Baltimore Orioles	9:10 ✺
28.07.26	Detroit Tigers - Baltimore Orioles	14:0 ✺
27.07.26	Detroit Tigers - Baltimore Orioles	5:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLW
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
01.08.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	0:5 ✺
31.07.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	6:4 ✺
29.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	8:6 ✺
28.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
01.08.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	0:5
31.07.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	6:4
MLB Spring Training
21.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	10:8
13.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	11:8
MLB
06.08.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	1:5
05.08.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	5:0
04.08.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	13:3

Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide