Match Info

MLB

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday

Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Japan	J sports 3
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	NESN
World	MLB.TV


	Pittsburgh Pirates		Los Angeles Dodgers

	1	2
	2.55	1.54	Watch
	2.50	1.55
	2.50	1.54
	2.61	1.57
			Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.56	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Pirates
38.3%

Los Angeles Dodgers
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Los Angeles Dodgers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Pirates, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Dodgers than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles Dodgers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). LA Dodgers will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 50%). LA Dodgers (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - LA Dodgers (1.86) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 20%). LA Dodgers (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Lineups

Batters
3. Gonzales N.	17. Ohtani S.
5. Lowe B.	44. Pages A.
10. Reynolds B.	5. Freeman F.
24. Ozuna M.	50. Betts M.
2. Horwitz S.	13. Muncy M.
55. Valdez E.	23. Tucker K.
28. Mangum J.	67. Ward R.
43. Flores R.	68. Rushing D.
19. Triolo J.	76. Freeland A.
Pitchers
23. Keller M.	70. Wrobleski J.
Coaches
. Kelly D.	. Roberts D.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.

Pittsburgh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LA Dodgers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

LA Dodgers could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 98:109. (average 4.9:5.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 61:50. (average 6.1:5).

Outrights of MLB for now

Los Angeles Dodgers: 41.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
10.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	9:8 ✺
09.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	3:12 ✺
07.06.26	Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates	6:3 ✺
05.06.26	Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB
10.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	9:8 ✺
09.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	3:12 ✺
07.06.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Los Angeles Angels	5:13 ✺
06.06.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Los Angeles Angels	9:2 ✺
05.06.26	Los Angeles Dodgers - Los Angeles Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
10.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	9:8
09.06.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	3:12
04.09.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	5:3
03.09.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	3:0
02.09.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - Los Angeles Dodgers	9:7
27.04.25	Los Angeles Dodgers - Pittsburgh Pirates	9:2
26.04.25	Los Angeles Dodgers - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:4

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