The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Pirates 42.5%
Seattle Mariners 57.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Pirates's form might have worsened.
Seattle Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Mariners's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Pirates, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Mariners, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Pittsburgh Pirates - Seattle Mariners Predictions
Users Predictions:
Pittsburgh Pirates will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
28. Mangum J.
3. Crawford J.
5. Lowe B.
29. Raleigh C.
10. Reynolds B.
44. Rodriguez J.
3. Gonzales N.
12. Naylor J.
29. O'Hearn R.
56. Arozarena R.
55. Valdez E.
20. Raley L.
37. Callihan T.
2. Young C.
19. Triolo J.
18. Garver M.
32. Davis H.
4. Emerson C.
Pitchers
36. Chandler B.
50. Miller B.
Coaches
. Kelly D.
. Wilson D.
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games.
Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 75:81. (average 3.8:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:44. (average 3.8:4.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.32%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.