Match Info
MLBDate: 16 April 2026, ThursdayLocation: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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World | MLB.TV |
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Pittsburgh Pirates |
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Washington Nationals |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.61 |
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2.4 |
Watch |
 |
1.61 |
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2.33 |
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 |
1.65 |
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2.45 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.6 |
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2.35 |
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1.66 |
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2.39 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↑ (1.59) |
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2.38 ↓ (2.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Pirates 59.5% | Washington Nationals 40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Washington will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1I - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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28. Mangum J.
| 29. Wood J.
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3. Gonzales N.
| 2. Garcia L.
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15. Cruz O.
| 12. House B.
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24. Ozuna M.
| 4. Lile D.
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38. Yorke N.
| 5. Abrams C.
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5. Lowe B.
| 30. Young J.
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14. Bart J.
| 84. Vivas J.
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6. Griffin K.
| 14. Millas D.
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25. Cook B.
| 26. Nunez N.
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| Pitchers |
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35. Ashcraft B.
| 22. Griffin F.
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| Coaches |
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. Kelly D.
| . Butera B.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Recently, Washington has had a series of away games. Pittsburgh could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 109:68. (average 5.5:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 78:44. (average 5.6:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 60.2%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 15.04.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals | 2:0 | | 14.04.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals | 4:5 | | 13.04.26 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals | 16:5 | | 14.09.25 | Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates | 4:3 | | 13.09.25 | Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates | 1:5 | | 12.09.25 | Washington Nationals - Pittsburgh Pirates | 6:5 | | 17.04.25 | Pittsburgh Pirates - Washington Nationals | 1:0 |
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