Match Info

MLB

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Petco Park (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 3
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	ESPN 3
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
World	MLB.TV


	San Diego Padres		Houston Astros

	1	2
	1.82	2.01	Watch
	1.83	2.00
	1.83	1.98
	1.86	2.08
	1.84	2.04
	1.87	2.06	Watch
	1.83	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	2.02 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
52.3%

Houston Astros
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

San Diego Padres - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Houston will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.	3. Pena J.
9. Cronenworth J.	44. Alvarez Y.
13. Machado M.	15. Paredes I.
25. France T.	27. Altuve J.
3. Merrill J.	26. Trammell T.
21. Rengifo L.	8. Walker C.
30. Sheets G.	18. Varsho D.
2. Bogaerts X.	21. Diaz Y.
54. Fermin F.	31. Wade L.
Pitchers
98. Vasquez R.	53. Javier C.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Espada J.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 107:82. (average 5.4:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:32. (average 5:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Padres - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.58%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB
08.08.26	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:2 ✺
07.08.26	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:6 ✺
06.08.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - San Diego Padres	1:5 ✺
05.08.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - San Diego Padres	10:4 ✺
04.08.26	Arizona Diamondbacks - San Diego Padres	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW
- Houston Astros
MLB
08.08.26	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:2 ✺
07.08.26	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:6 ✺
05.08.26	Houston Astros - Toronto Blue Jays	4:5 ✺
04.08.26	Houston Astros - Toronto Blue Jays	7:2 ✺
03.08.26	Houston Astros - Toronto Blue Jays	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
08.08.26	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:2
07.08.26	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:6
20.04.25	Houston Astros - San Diego Padres	2:3
19.04.25	Houston Astros - San Diego Padres	3:2
18.04.25	Houston Astros - San Diego Padres	6:4
18.09.24	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	4:0
17.09.24	San Diego Padres - Houston Astros	3:4

San Diego Padres - Houston Astros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide