The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 56.4%
Chicago Cubs 43.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Chicago Cubs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
San Diego Padres - Chicago Cubs Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Chi Cubs will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chi Cubs: 44.9% โ 88.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
Games O/U 7 - over (1.82) (votes: 94%) โญ Best Value.
1X2 - SD Padres (1.70) (votes: 85%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.
4. Crow-Armstrong P.
29. Harris D.
3. Bregman A.
13. Machado M.
29. Busch M.
25. France T.
27. Suzuki S.
3. Merrill J.
8. Happ I.
2. Bogaerts X.
2. Hoerner N.
8. Salas E.
6. Shaw M.
15. Hays A.
15. Kelly C.
9. Cronenworth J.
7. Swanson D.
Pitchers
27. Pivetta N.
12. Gausman K.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Counsell C.
Preview
Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 0.
San Diego has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Chi Cubs have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Diego has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 79:103 (averaging 4:5.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Diego against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 39:38 goals (averaging 4.9:4.8 per game).