Match Info

MLB

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Petco Park (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN+, NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	San Diego Padres		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.72
	2.23	1.77
			Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.29)	1.74 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
44.4%

Philadelphia Phillies
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
23. Tatis F. Jr.	12. Schwarber K.
41. Andujar M.	7. Turner T.
30. Sheets G.	3. Harper B.
13. Machado M.	28. Bohm A.
2. Bogaerts X.	5. Stott B.
5. Laureano R.	10. Realmuto J.T.
3. Merrill J.	53. Garcia A.
21. Castellanos N.	2. Crawford J.
54. Fermin F.	33. Sosa E.
Pitchers
10. Buehler W.	61. Sanchez C.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Mattingly D.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.

Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 70:101. (average 3.5:5.1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:51. (average 3.5:4.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB
26.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	3:4 ✺
25.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	San Diego Padres - Athletics	2:5 ✺
23.05.26	San Diego Padres - Athletics	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	San Diego Padres - Athletics	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
26.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	3:4 ✺
25.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cleveland Guardians	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cleveland Guardians	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Cleveland Guardians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
26.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	3:4
25.05.26	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3
13.07.25	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	1:2
12.07.25	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	5:4
11.07.25	San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies	4:2
02.07.25	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	5:1
02.07.25	Philadelphia Phillies - San Diego Padres	4:6

San Diego Padres - Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide