Match Info

MLB

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Petco Park (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	San Diego Padres		St. Louis Cardinals

	1	2
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.07
	1.86	2.1
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.8	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
54.1%

St. Louis Cardinals
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

St. Louis Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). St. Louis will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Louis Cardinals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
3. Merrill J.	26. Wetherholt J.
23. Tatis F. Jr.	48. Herrera I.
13. Machado M.	41. Burleson A.
30. Sheets G.	18. Walker J.
2. Bogaerts X.	16. Gorman N.
41. Andujar M.	0. Winn M.
25. France T.	27. Church N.
24. Song Sung-Mun	25. Saggese T.
48. Duran R.	43. Pages P.
Pitchers
10. Buehler W.	62. Leahy K.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Marmol O.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 83:76. (average 4.2:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 46:44. (average 3.8:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis Cardinals - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB
09.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	4:2 ✺
08.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	0:6 ✺
07.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	San Francisco Giants - San Diego Padres	1:5 ✺
05.05.26	San Francisco Giants - San Diego Padres	5:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW
- St. Louis Cardinals
MLB
09.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	4:2 ✺
08.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	0:6 ✺
07.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Milwaukee Brewers	2:6 ✺
04.05.26	St. Louis Cardinals - Milwaukee Brewers	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
09.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	4:2
08.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	0:6
07.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	1:2
03.08.25	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	7:3
02.08.25	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	5:8
01.08.25	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	4:1
27.07.25	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	2:9

San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide