Match Info
MLBDate: 5 April 2026, SundayLocation: Oracle Park (San Francisco, CA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | MLB.TV |
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San Francisco Giants |
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New York Mets |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Francisco Giants
52.1% | New York Mets
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Francisco Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Francisco Giants than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
San Francisco Giants will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Francisco Giants will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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2.  Adames W.
| 12.  Lindor F.
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1.  Arraez L.
| 19.  Bichette B.
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26. Chapman M.
| 11. Polanco J.
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16. Devers R.
| 88.  Robert L.
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17. Ramos H.
| 7. Baty B.
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51.  Lee Jung-Hoo
| 27.  Vientos M.
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19. Encarnacion J.
| 10. Semien M.
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9.  Bader H.
| 3. Benge C.
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14. Bailey P.
| 4. Alvarez F.
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| Pitchers |
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62. Webb L.
| 34.  Senga K.
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| Coaches |
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. Vitello T.
| . Mendoza C.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Recently, NY Mets has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Francisco won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 92:104. (average 4.6:5.2).Including home matches between the teams, San Francisco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:56. (average 3.8:5.1).
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Last Results with these Odds
New York Mets - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 47.33%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 04.04.26 | San Francisco Giants - New York Mets | 3:10 | | 03.04.26 | San Francisco Giants - New York Mets | 3:10 | | 02.04.26 | San Francisco Giants - New York Mets | 7:2 | | 03.08.25 | New York Mets - San Francisco Giants | 4:12 | | 02.08.25 | New York Mets - San Francisco Giants | 12:6 | | 01.08.25 | New York Mets - San Francisco Giants | 3:4 | | 27.07.25 | San Francisco Giants - New York Mets | 3:5 |
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