Match Info

MLB

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	Seattle Mariners		Kansas City Royals

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.97	1.96
			Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	1.95 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Mariners
50.7%

Kansas City Royals
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Kansas City Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kansas City will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 50%). Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
30. Refsnyder R.	11. Garcia M.
44. Rodriguez J.	7. Witt B.
12. Naylor J.	9. Pasquantino V.
56. Arozarena R.	13. Perez S.
3. Crawford J.	22. Jensen C.
2. Young C.	14. Caglianone J.
9. Joe C.	1. Collins I.
5. Pereda J.	19. Massey M.
76. Rivas L.	28. Isbel K.
Pitchers
58. Castillo L.	50. Bubic K.
Coaches
. Wilson D.	. Quatraro M.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kansas City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kansas City has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 104:98. (average 5.2:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:41. (average 4:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Mariners
MLB
02.05.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	6:7 ✺
29.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Seattle Mariners	3:5 ✺
28.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Seattle Mariners	1:7 ✺
27.04.26	Minnesota Twins - Seattle Mariners	11:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Kansas City Royals
MLB
02.05.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	6:7 ✺
30.04.26	Athletics - Kansas City Royals	6:3 ✺
29.04.26	Athletics - Kansas City Royals	5:2 ✺
28.04.26	Athletics - Kansas City Royals	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
02.05.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	2:3
01.05.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	6:7
MLB Spring Training
10.03.26	Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals	4:3
25.02.26	Kansas City Royals - Seattle Mariners	8:8
MLB
18.09.25	Kansas City Royals - Seattle Mariners	0:2
17.09.25	Kansas City Royals - Seattle Mariners	7:5
16.09.25	Kansas City Royals - Seattle Mariners	5:12

Seattle Mariners - Kansas City Royals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide