The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Mariners 50.2%
Toronto Blue Jays 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Mariners's form might have worsened.
Toronto Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto Blue Jays's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Blue Jays, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
0%
37.5%
Seattle Mariners - Toronto Blue Jays Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/E Runs - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5
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Lineups
Batters
3. Crawford J.
38. Lukes N.
56. Arozarena R.
27. Guerrero Jr. V.
29. Raleigh C.
7. Okamoto K.
12. Naylor J.
30. Kirk A.
20. Raley L.
5. Varsho D.
2. Young C.
22. Clement E.
18. Garver M.
20. Keys S.
4. Emerson C.
48. Urias L.
10. Robles V.
24. Pinango Y.
Pitchers
26. Hancock E.
39. Yesavage T.
Coaches
. Wilson D.
. Schneider J.
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2.
Seattle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Toronto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 84:87. (average 4.2:4.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 40:57. (average 3.6:5.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Seattle Mariners - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.43%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.
Toronto Blue Jays - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 34% of matches with these odds.