Match Info

MLB

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Busch Stadium (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	St. Louis Cardinals		San Diego Padres

	1	2
	1.79	1.96	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.78	2.03
	1.84	2.1
			Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.8	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	2.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 10.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%

San Diego Padres
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres Predictions

Users Predictions: San Diego Padres will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
26. Wetherholt J.	23. Tatis F. Jr.
48. Herrera I.	0. Taylor S.
41. Burleson A.	3. Merrill J.
18. Walker J.	13. Machado M.
21. Nootbaar L.	30. Sheets G.
0. Winn M.	2. Bogaerts X.
8. Crooks J.	25. France T.
33. Jordan B.	7. Wagner W.
27. Church N.	48. Duran R.
Pitchers
62. Leahy K.	72. Rodriguez B.
Coaches
. Marmol O.	. Stammen C.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 75:70. (average 3.8:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:39. (average 3.8:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Padres - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.74%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis Cardinals
MLB
16.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	3:2 ✺
15.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Minnesota Twins - St. Louis Cardinals	5:4 ✺
13.06.26	Minnesota Twins - St. Louis Cardinals	9:8 ✺
12.06.26	Minnesota Twins - St. Louis Cardinals	9:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- San Diego Padres
MLB
16.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	3:2 ✺
15.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Baltimore Orioles - San Diego Padres	2:5 ✺
13.06.26	Baltimore Orioles - San Diego Padres	3:9 ✺
12.06.26	Baltimore Orioles - San Diego Padres	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
16.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	3:2
15.06.26	St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres	3:0
10.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	3:2
09.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	4:2
08.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	0:6
07.05.26	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	1:2
03.08.25	San Diego Padres - St. Louis Cardinals	7:3

St. Louis Cardinals - San Diego Padres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide