The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis Cardinals 53.6%
Washington Nationals 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Cardinals than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
St. Louis Cardinals - Washington Nationals Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Washington will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6
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Lineups
Batters
26. Wetherholt J.
29. Wood J.
48. Herrera I.
87. Chaparro A.
41. Burleson A.
12. House B.
18. Walker J.
5. Abrams C.
13. Bernal L.
3. Crews D.
25. Saggese T.
4. Lile D.
39. Torres B.
17. Ford H.
15. Fermin J.
30. Young J.
27. Church N.
26. Nunez N.
Pitchers
60. Mathews Q.
27. Irvin J.
Coaches
. Marmol O.
. Butera B.
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 3.
In recent outings, St. Louis has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Washington is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
St. Louis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 90:74 (averaging 4.5:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Louis against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 38:40 goals (averaging 4.2:4.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Nationals - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.87%, but this team recently wins 49% of matches with these odds.