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Current Win Probability
Washington Nationals 36.4%
Philadelphia Phillies 63.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Nationals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Nationals's form might have worsened.
Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philadelphia Phillies's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Nationals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Phillies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
29. Wood J.
12. Schwarber K.
4. Lile D.
7. Turner T.
81. Ortiz A.
3. Harper B.
5. Abrams C.
4. Arraez L.
8. Tena J.
28. Bohm A.
84. Vivas J.
5. Stott B.
3. Crews D.
10. Realmuto J.T.
20. Ruiz K.
16. Marsh B.
26. Nunez N.
2. Crawford J.
Pitchers
72. Simpson J.
45. Wheeler Z.
Coaches
. Butera B.
. Mattingly D.
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
Washington is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Philadelphia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 96:108. (average 4.8:5.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 46:55. (average 5.1:6.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Nationals - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.99%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
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Wood J. 
Ortiz A. 
Arraez L. 
Tena J. 
Vivas J. 
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