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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rays 57.2%
Detroit Tigers 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Detroit Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
0%
35.7%
Tampa Bay Rays - Detroit Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Detroit will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3
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Lineups
Batters
14. Simpson C.
25. Torres G.
13. Caminero J.
7. McGonigle K.
8. Aranda J.
13. Dingler D.
2. Diaz Y.
30. Carpenter K.
1. Palacios R.
31. Greene R.
15. Williamson B.
20. Torkelson S.
31. Mullins C.
33. Keith C.
40. Fortes N.
8. Vierling M.
25. Mesa V.
34. Rogers J.
Pitchers
28. Martinez N.
52. Melton T.
Coaches
. Cash K.
. Hinch A. J.
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
Recently, Detroit has had a series of away games.
Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 76:107. (average 3.8:5.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 54:70. (average 4.9:6.4).
Outrights of MLB for now
Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Tigers - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 42.02%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.