Match Info

MLB

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	Braves Vision, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Houston Astros

	1	2
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.15
	1.69	2.16
	1.77	2.24
			Watch
	1.73	2.15
	1.74	2.24	Watch
	1.7	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	2.18 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
55.9%

Houston Astros
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Houston Astros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Astros than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros Predictions

Users Predictions: Houston Astros will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	3. Pena J.
8. Aranda J.	44. Alvarez Y.
13. Caminero J.	15. Paredes I.
25. Mesa V.	27. Altuve J.
14. Simpson C.	21. Diaz Y.
21. Deluca J.	18. Varsho D.
1. Palacios R.	8. Walker C.
20. Madrigal N.	11. Smith C.
40. Fortes N.	26. Trammell T.
Pitchers
51. Peralta F.	39. Wesneski H.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Espada J.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Houston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Houston has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 86:69. (average 4.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 3:3).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 23.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 56.12%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
12.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
10.09.26	Atlanta Braves - Tampa Bay Rays	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Atlanta Braves - Tampa Bay Rays	2:7 ✺
08.09.26	Atlanta Braves - Tampa Bay Rays	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW
- Houston Astros
MLB
12.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:1 ✺
10.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	11:7 ✺
08.09.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Houston Astros	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
12.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:2
11.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Houston Astros	3:1
05.07.26	Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays	2:0
04.07.26	Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays	10:8
03.07.26	Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays	1:3
01.06.25	Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays	1:0
31.05.25	Houston Astros - Tampa Bay Rays	3:16

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