Match Info

MLB

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	NESN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		Kansas City Royals

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.70	2.20
	1.68	2.18
	1.72	2.37
			Watch
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.74	2.24	Watch
	1.68	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	2.24 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
57.1%

Kansas City Royals
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kansas City Royals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kansas City Royals than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Kansas City will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kansas City Royals will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	22. Jensen C.
8. Aranda J.	12. Loftin N.
13. Caminero J.	14. Caglianone J.
1. Palacios R.	15. Thomas L.
14. Simpson C.	40. Rojas J.
31. Mullins C.	13. Perez S.
6. Walls T.	1. Collins I.
25. Mesa V.	0. Marte S.
9. Feduccia H.	2. Tolbert T.
Pitchers
67. Legumina C.	67. Lugo S.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Quatraro M.

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kansas City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 79:82. (average 4:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:57. (average 3.3:5.2).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 22.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Kansas City Royals - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 45.06%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
24.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	5:3 ✺
23.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	5:12 ✺
22.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Washington Nationals	4:3 ✺
20.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Washington Nationals	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Kansas City Royals
MLB
24.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	5:3 ✺
23.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	5:12 ✺
22.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Kansas City Royals - St. Louis Cardinals	10:12 ✺
19.06.26	Kansas City Royals - St. Louis Cardinals	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
24.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	5:3
23.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	5:12
22.06.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	1:2
26.06.25	Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays	0:4
25.06.25	Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays	0:3
24.06.25	Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays	1:5
01.05.25	Tampa Bay Rays - Kansas City Royals	2:8

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