Match Info

MLB

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	MLB.TV


	Tampa Bay Rays		New York Mets

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.55	2.50
	1.54	2.48
	1.57	2.62
			Watch
	1.54	2.6
	1.58	2.58	Watch
	1.54	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	2.55 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rays
62.3%

New York Mets
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). NY Mets will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
2. Diaz Y.	12. Lindor F.
8. Aranda J.	22. Soto J.
13. Caminero J.	19. Bichette B.
34. Hicks L.	3. Benge C.
14. Simpson C.	29. Young J.
25. Mesa V.	10. Semien M.
31. Mullins C.	9. Ewing A.
1. Palacios R.	7. Baty B.
6. Walls T.	13. Torrens L.
Pitchers
22. Jax G.	51. Hagenman J.
Coaches
. Cash K.	. Green A.

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, NY Mets has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.

Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 116:89. (average 5.8:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 53:49. (average 5.3:4.9).

Outrights of MLB for now

Tampa Bay Rays: 23.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 59.19%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

New York Mets - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rays
MLB
01.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	6:2 ✺
31.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres	5:4 ✺
29.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres	7:6 ✺
28.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - San Diego Padres	9:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW
- New York Mets
MLB
01.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	6:2 ✺
31.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	New York Mets - Houston Astros	3:6 ✺
29.08.26	New York Mets - Houston Astros	6:2 ✺
28.08.26	New York Mets - Houston Astros	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
01.09.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	6:2
31.08.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	2:3
15.06.25	New York Mets - Tampa Bay Rays	0:9
14.06.25	New York Mets - Tampa Bay Rays	4:8
13.06.25	New York Mets - Tampa Bay Rays	5:7
MLB Spring Training
01.03.25	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	1:10
MLB
05.05.24	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets	7:6

Tampa Bay Rays - New York Mets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide