Match Info
MLBDate: 12 July 2026, SundayLocation: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Usa | SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 World | MLB.TV |
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Tampa Bay Rays |
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Seattle Mariners |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
|
2.20 |
 Watch |
 |
1.65 |
|
2.30 |
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 |
1.70 |
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2.18 |
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 |
1.70 |
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2.32 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
1.68 |
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2.25 |
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 |
1.76 |
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2.22 |
Watch |
 |
1.67 |
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2.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.78) |
|
2.24 ↑
(2.11) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rays
57.1% | Seattle Mariners
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Seattle Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rays than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (+4.2%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Seattle will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:5 
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Lineups
| Batters |
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2.  Diaz Y.
| 3.  Crawford J.
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8.  Aranda J.
| 56. Arozarena R.
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13.  Caminero J.
| 29. Raleigh C.
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31. Mullins C.
| 12.  Naylor J.
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14. Simpson C.
| 18. Garver M.
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25. Mesa V.
| 2. Young C.
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6. Walls T.
| 10. Robles V.
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1.  Palacios R.
| 31. Wilson W.
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9. Feduccia H.
| 39. Kennedy Buddy
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| Pitchers |
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61. Seymour I.
| 26. Hancock E.
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| Coaches |
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. Cash K.
| . Wilson D.
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Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 5.Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Seattle is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 99:82. (average 5:4.1).Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 75:38. (average 6.3:3.2).
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Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Rays - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 54.22%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MLB | | | 11.07.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - Seattle Mariners | 6:1 | | 10.07.26 | Tampa Bay Rays - Seattle Mariners | 7:2 | | 03.09.25 | Tampa Bay Rays - Seattle Mariners | 9:4 | | 02.09.25 | Tampa Bay Rays - Seattle Mariners | 6:5 | | 01.09.25 | Tampa Bay Rays - Seattle Mariners | 10:2 | | 10.08.25 | Seattle Mariners - Tampa Bay Rays | 6:3 | | 09.08.25 | Seattle Mariners - Tampa Bay Rays | 7:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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