The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Blue Jays 44.9%
Philadelphia Phillies 55.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Toronto Blue Jays - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 29.1% – 70.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 9, OT - over (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:6
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Lineups
Batters
4. Springer G.
12. Schwarber K.
27. Guerrero Jr. V.
7. Turner T.
22. Clement E.
3. Harper B.
7. Okamoto K.
16. Marsh B.
24. Pinango Y.
28. Bohm A.
59. Valenzuela B.
5. Stott B.
26. McAdoo C.
10. Realmuto J.T.
3. Straw M.
53. Garcia A.
38. Lukes N.
2. Crawford J.
Pitchers
31. Scherzer M.
44. Luzardo J.
Coaches
. Schneider J.
. Mattingly D.
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 5)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 71:97. (average 3.6:4.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 40:47. (average 3.6:4.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Blue Jays - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 43.13%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.