Match Info

World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: LoanDepot Park (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Japan	Netflix
Mexico	FOX One
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox


	USA		Venezuela

	1	2
	1.42	2.95
	1.36	3.2
	1.42	3
	1.43	2.95
			Watch
	1.36	3
	1.4	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	3.05 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
68.5%

Venezuela
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezuela than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

USA - Venezuela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Venezuela will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezuela: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 50%). Venezuela (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Lineups

Batters
7. Witt B.	13. Acuna Jr. R.
3. Harper B.	11. Garcia M.
99. Judge A.	1. Arraez L.
12. Schwarber K.	28. Suarez E.
2. Bregman A.	25. Torres G.
19. Anthony R.	14. Tovar E.
16. Smith W.	52. Abreu W.
. Turang B.	. Perez S.
25. Buxton B.	. Chourio J.
Pitchers
26. McLean N.	57. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
. DeRosa M.	. Lopez O.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Venezuela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, USA is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, USA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 5.3:4.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA baseball
World Baseball Classic
15.03.26	Dominican Republic - USA	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Canada - USA	3:5 ✺
10.03.26	USA - Italy	6:8 ✺
09.03.26	USA - Mexico	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	USA - Great Britain	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW
- Venezuela baseball
World Baseball Classic
16.03.26	Italy - Venezuela	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Japan - Venezuela	5:8 ✺
11.03.26	Venezuela - Dominican Republic	5:7 ✺
09.03.26	Nicaragua - Venezuela	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Venezuela - Israel	11:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WBSC Premier 12
23.11.24	Venezuela - USA	1:6
22.11.24	Venezuela - USA	5:6
11.11.24	Venezuela - USA	5:3
World Baseball Classic
18.03.23	Venezuela - USA	7:9
Olympic Games - Baseball
05.06.21	USA - Venezuela	4:2
World Baseball Classic
15.03.17	USA - Venezuela	4:2
WBSC Premier 12
10.11.15	USA - Venezuela	5:7

USA - Venezuela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide