Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 13

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Palais des Sports de Pau (Pau)


	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez		Le Mans

	1	2
	2.25	1.69	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.16	1.7
	2.12	1.65
	2.24	1.69
	2.12	1.75
	2.31	1.63	Watch
	2.14	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
43.4%

Le Mans
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez will win (36 of 39 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.95% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau-Orthez won 4.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Le Mans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Pau-Orthez won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1381-1388.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau-Orthez won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 763-709.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French LNB
09.12.22	Provence Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	83:75 ✺
04.12.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Nanterre	71:80 ✺
27.11.22	ASVEL Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	91:79 ✺
19.11.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Gravelines	91:80 ✺
05.11.22	Cholet Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
10.12.22	Le Mans - Strasbourg	74:78 ✺
02.12.22	Gravelines - Le Mans	80:74 ✺
29.11.22	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	81:90 ✺
French Cup Basketball
23.11.22	Rueil - Le Mans	60:94 ✺
French LNB
19.11.22	Le Mans - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	87:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
30.03.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Mans	87:77
16.10.21	Le Mans - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	100:106 OT (94:94)
01.05.21	Le Mans - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	88:78
28.10.20	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Mans	90:81 OT (70:70)
27.12.19	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Mans	85:64
07.05.19	Le Mans - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	94:74
16.12.18	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Mans	91:90 OT (79:79)

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