Match Info

LKL

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Siauliu arena (Šiauliai)


	Šiauliai		Rytas

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.33	Watch
	3.29	1.28
	3.13	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.29
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.88)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šiauliai
29.3%

Rytas
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Rytas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Šiauliai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rytas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Šiauliai - Rytas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Civilis R.	9. Bruhnke K.
2. Henderson C.	8. Gudaitis A. (C)
8. Kariniauskas V. (C)	41. Lukosius S.
14. Pleikys O.	43. Sargiunas I.
25. Romancenko D.	44. Speedy Smith
Substitutes
9. Baslyk D.	24. Caroline J.
7. Fofana S.	14. Echodas M.
30. Simanic S.	10. Harding J.
99. Valinskas M.	3. Marciulionis A.
11. Vene S.	16. Urbonas I.
Coaches
. Songaila D.	. Zibenas G.

Preview

First leg result: 97-82. Aggregate: 196-176. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šiauliai won 0.

Šiauliai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rytas is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rytas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rytas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rytas is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Šiauliai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 1707:1965. (average 85.4:98.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Šiauliai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 832:940. (average 83.2:94).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Siauliai: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Siauliai	4	2	2	326:331	0.500
9	Rytas	1	0	1	102:105	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Šiauliai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
03.04.26	Šiauliai - Jonava	96:77 ✺
28.03.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Šiauliai	87:88 ✺
22.03.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Šiauliai	94:65 ✺
08.03.26	Šiauliai - Neptūnas	81:90 ✺
18.02.26	Lietkabelis - Šiauliai	75:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLW
- BC Rytas
Champions League Basketball
07.04.26	Nymburk - Rytas	69:70 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.04.26	Rytas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	105:91 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.04.26	Rytas - Nymburk	77:70 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
29.03.26	Rytas - Gargždai	98:77 ✺
22.03.26	Rytas - Lietkabelis	96:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
15.01.26	Rytas - Šiauliai	99:94
23.12.25	Šiauliai - Rytas	82:97
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.11.25	Šiauliai - Rytas	100:105
25.10.25	Rytas - Šiauliai	94:79
27.05.25	Šiauliai - Rytas	84:110
25.05.25	Rytas - Šiauliai	127:81
13.05.25	Rytas - Šiauliai	103:96

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