Match Info

Euroleague - Round 17

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)

Referee: Tsaroucha V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Žalgiris Kaunas		Partizan Belgrade

	1	2
	1.32	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.54
	1.39	3.21	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.35	3.37	Watch
	1.34	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	3.35 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
71.5%

Partizan Belgrade
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Partizan Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Žalgiris Kaunas - Partizan Belgrade Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Partizan (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Žalgiris Kaunas will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Žalgiris Kaunas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Partizan (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Brazdeikis I.	17. Bonga I.
3. Francisco S.	12. Brown S.
10. Tubelis A.	24. Fernando B.
1. Williams-Goss N.	2. Milton S.
7. Wright M.	4. Washington D.
Substitutes
15. Birutis L.	8. Bosnjakovic M.
51. Butkevicius A.	33. Calathes N.
12. Lo M.	88. Jones T.
17. Rubstavicius M.	19. Lakic A.
91. Sirvydis D.	9. Marinkovic V.
14. Sleva D.	5. Osetkowski D.
92. Ulanovas E.	22. Parker J.
Coaches
. Masiulis T.	. Ocokoljic M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 1.

Žalgiris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Partizan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Partizan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Žalgiris is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 611:654. (average 76.4:81.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 318:324. (average 79.5:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague
17.12.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	64:87 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
14.12.25	Juventus Utena - Žalgiris Kaunas	75:91 ✺
Euroleague
11.12.25	Paris - Žalgiris Kaunas	105:108 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
07.12.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Gargždai	108:71 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Maccabi Tel Aviv	65:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Euroleague
17.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Virtus Bologna	68:86 ✺
Adriatic League
14.12.25	FMP Beograd - Partizan Belgrade	79:91 ✺
Euroleague
12.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	79:76 ✺
Adriatic League
07.12.25	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Partizan Belgrade	85:92 ✺
Euroleague
04.12.25	Partizan Belgrade - Bayern München	92:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
03.04.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Partizan Belgrade	70:66
03.12.24	Partizan Belgrade - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:78
26.01.24	Partizan Belgrade - Žalgiris Kaunas	81:72
14.12.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Partizan Belgrade	85:93
03.02.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Partizan Belgrade	74:88
27.10.22	Partizan Belgrade - Žalgiris Kaunas	87:76
04.04.14	Partizan Belgrade - Žalgiris Kaunas	78:67

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