Match Info

Euroleague - Round 11

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Gordon N. (Wrl)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Partizan Belgrade

	1	2
	3.55	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.32	Watch
	3.27	1.36
	2.33	1.59	Watch
	3.57	1.32	Watch
	2.35	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.2)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
31.3%

Partizan Belgrade
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ASVEL Basket's form might have worsened.

Partizan Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Partizan Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASVEL Basket than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ASVEL Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partizan Belgrade than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Partizan Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

ASVEL Basket - Partizan Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Partizan will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Partizan: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 2 - 50%). Partizan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Partizan (1.62) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +11, OT - ASVEL (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Partizan (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Harrison S.	12. Brown S.
10. Massa B.	2. Milton S.
1. Seljaas Z.	5. Osetkowski D.
94. Traore A.	11. Pokusevski A.
30. Watson G.	4. Washington D.
Substitutes
8. Ajinca M.	17. Bonga I.
2. Atamna A.	8. Bosnjakovic M.
23. Lighty D.	33. Calathes N.
24. Ndiaye M.	24. Fernando B.
16. Ngouama M.	88. Jones T.
32. Vautier B.	10. Mijailovic U.
88. Wade M.	3. Muurinen M.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Obradovic Z.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, ASVEL has had a series of away games.

In this match, Partizan is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 689:749. (average 76.6:83.2).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 370:410. (average 74:82).

Last Results with these Odds

ASVEL Basket - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
12.11.25	Olimpia Milano - ASVEL Basket	80:72 ✺
French LNB
08.11.25	Gravelines - ASVEL Basket	62:83 ✺
Euroleague
06.11.25	Fenerbahçe - ASVEL Basket	81:67 ✺
French LNB
01.11.25	ASVEL Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	85:86 ✺
Euroleague
30.10.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Basket	96:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Partizan Belgrade Basketball
Euroleague
11.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - AS Monaco Basket	78:76 ✺
07.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Partizan Belgrade	80:71 ✺
Adriatic League
03.11.25	Dubai - Partizan Belgrade	82:70 ✺
Euroleague
31.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - Barcelona	76:78 ✺
29.10.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Partizan Belgrade	97:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
14.01.25	ASVEL Basket - Partizan Belgrade	62:93
17.12.24	Partizan Belgrade - ASVEL Basket	79:82
02.01.24	Partizan Belgrade - ASVEL Basket	90:77
12.10.23	ASVEL Basket - Partizan Belgrade	62:88
31.01.23	Partizan Belgrade - ASVEL Basket	92:71
13.12.22	ASVEL Basket - Partizan Belgrade	91:87
Eurocup
11.12.18	ASVEL Basket - Partizan Belgrade	75:78

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