Match Info

Basket League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: SUNEL Arena (Ano Liosia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	ERT 2


	AEK Athens		Aris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.37	3.09
	1.35	3.07	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.4	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	3.01 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
68.8%

Aris
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

AEK Athens - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Aris will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bartley F.	13. Bochoridis E. (C)
33. Charalampopoulos V.	10. Forester J.
8. Feazell K.	25. Harrell R.
7. Flionis D. (C)	3. Jones B.
0. Gray R.	5. Noua A.
Substitutes
2. Brown III G.	33. Andusic D.
4. Katsivelis D.	98. Kulboka A.
9. Lekavicius L.	2. Lefas P.
21. Nunnally J.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
15. Pecarski M.	11. Poulianitis S.
1. Skordilis G.	16. Pourlidas V.
	9. Tsairelis M.
Coaches
. Sakota D.	. Milicic I.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, AEK is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1536:1501. (average 76.8:75.1).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 890:821. (average 80.9:74.6).

Outrights of Greek Basket League A1 for now

Aris: 2.44% AEK Athens: 1.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	AEK Athens	1	1	0	91:70	2
8	Aris	1	0	1	68:74	1

Last Results with these Odds

AEK Athens - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.28%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
17.05.26	Aris - AEK Athens	90:81 ✺
14.05.26	AEK Athens - Aris	87:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.05.26	AEK Athens - Rytas	86:92 OT ✺
07.05.26	Unicaja Malaga - AEK Athens	65:78 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
17.05.26	Aris - AEK Athens	90:81 ✺
14.05.26	AEK Athens - Aris	87:81 ✺
25.04.26	Aris - Panionios	75:65 ✺
22.04.26	Peristeri BC - Aris	78:75 ✺
19.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
17.05.26	Aris - AEK Athens	90:81
14.05.26	AEK Athens - Aris	87:81
04.04.26	Aris - AEK Athens	82:78
27.12.25	AEK Athens - Aris	82:76
28.12.24	AEK Athens - Aris	102:89
05.10.24	Aris - AEK Athens	59:70
20.01.24	AEK Athens - Aris	91:93

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