Match Info

Euroleague - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: LDLC Arena (Lyon)

Referee: Radojkovic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	ASVEL Basket		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.72	2.15	Watch
	1.86	2.04
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	1.8	2.08	Watch
	1.71	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.63)	2.02 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ASVEL Basket
52.2%

Baskonia
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ASVEL Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ASVEL Basket's form might have worsened.

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baskonia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

ASVEL Basket - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. ASVEL will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Baskonia will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baskonia: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - ASVEL (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baskonia will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. ASVEL (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Baskonia (votes: 10 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Ajinca M.	6. Diallo H.
11. Jackson E.	18. Diop K.
1. Seljaas Z.	11. Forrest T.
32. Vautier B.	0. Howard M.
30. Watson G.	8. Sedekerskis T.
Substitutes
2. Atamna A.	1. Diakite M.
12. De Colo N.	25. Frisch C.
3. Harrison S.	77. Joksimovic S.
23. Lighty D.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
10. Massa B.	3. Nowell M.
24. Ndiaye M.	99. Samanic L.
94. Traore A.	10. Spagnolo M.
Coaches
. Poupet P.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 1.

ASVEL may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that ASVEL will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, ASVEL won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 936:1011. (average 78:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, ASVEL won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 462:430. (average 77:71.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASVEL Basket
Euroleague
01.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Valencia	77:80 ✺
French LNB
28.09.25	ASVEL Basket - Nancy	115:71 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.25	Dijon - ASVEL Basket	70:73 ✺
French LNB
10.06.25	AS Monaco Basket - ASVEL Basket	91:86 ✺
08.06.25	AS Monaco Basket - ASVEL Basket	74:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
30.09.25	Baskonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	96:102 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
23.09.25	Baskonia - Trieste	94:98 ✺
19.09.25	Baskonia - Valencia	84:99 ✺
12.09.25	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	90:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
06.06.25	Baskonia - Real Madrid	103:112 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
04.04.25	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	111:75
18.10.24	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	76:69
08.02.24	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	94:80
17.11.23	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	81:88
06.04.23	Baskonia - ASVEL Basket	120:100
28.10.22	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	87:61
10.03.22	ASVEL Basket - Baskonia	69:72

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