Match Info
NCAADate: 5 March 2026, Thursday
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Alabama State Hornets |
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Grambling State Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.67 |
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2.15 |
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 |
1.75 |
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1.98 |
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1.75 |
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2.11 |
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1.73 |
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2.01 |
 Watch |
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1.73 |
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2 |
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1.8 |
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2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.61) |
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2.04 ↓
(2.13) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 144.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alabama State Hornets
54% | Grambling State Tigers
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alabama State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Grambling State Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alabama State Hornets than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grambling State Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Alabama State Hornets - Grambling State Tigers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:71 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alabama State won 2.Recent performances by Alabama State have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Grambling State is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Grambling State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Alabama State will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alabama State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1210:1311. (average 60.5:65.6).Including home matches between the teams, Alabama State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 660:684. (average 60:62.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Grambling State Tigers - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.05%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 07.02.26 | Grambling State Tigers - Alabama State Hornets | 57:47 | | 14.03.25 | Alabama State Hornets - Grambling State Tigers | 64:62 | | 08.03.25 | Grambling State Tigers - Alabama State Hornets | 47:59 | | 08.02.25 | Alabama State Hornets - Grambling State Tigers | 67:77 | | 13.03.24 | Grambling State Tigers - Alabama State Hornets | 56:50 | | 09.03.24 | Alabama State Hornets - Grambling State Tigers | 87:84 OT | | 10.02.24 | Grambling State Tigers - Alabama State Hornets | 74:68 |
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