Match Info

NKL

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Silutes Vyduno gimnazija (Silute)


	Alytaus Alytus		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
			Watch
	3.15	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.26
	2.92	1.34	Watch
	3	1.33
	2.99	1.34
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.76)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alytaus Alytus
29.7%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alytaus Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alytaus Alytus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Alytaus Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5, OT - Žalgiris-2 (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris-2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Baltrusaitis T. (C)	12. Bulanovas M. (C)
13. Degray R.	8. Daubaris D.
14. Norkus J.	55. Grunkis D.
23. Vaitulevicius O.	7. Rudaitis J.
1. Waters-Johnson Jr R. C.	16. Stombergas I.
Substitutes
12. Klimas L.	35. Brnovic M.
30. Pocevicius M.	15. Cerneckis G.
11. Scott N.	9. Jakstonis D.
	17. Lavrinovic T.
	4. Mikalauskas K.
	10. Raupelis N.
	3. Urbonavicius D.
Coaches
. Jurkunas A.	. Kondratavicius R.

Preview

Alytus is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Žalgiris-2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Žalgiris-2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Žalgiris-2 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 226:252. (average 75.3:84).

Including home match between the teams, Alytus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 56:69.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alytaus Alytus
Lietuvos NKL
29.11.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Alytaus Alytus	84:70 ✺
27.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Vilniaus Stekas	93:83 ✺
22.11.25	Omega Tauras - Alytaus Alytus	94:89 ✺
20.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Telšiai	81:83 ✺
15.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Alytaus Alytus	105:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
29.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kretinga	91:86 ✺
27.11.25	Sūduva - Kauno Žalgiris-2	89:76 ✺
25.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	72:93 ✺
22.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Šilutė	114:107 OT ✺
20.11.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kauno Žalgiris-2	64:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
15.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Alytaus Alytus	105:102
11.01.25	Alytaus Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris-2	56:69
12.10.24	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Alytaus Alytus	78:68

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