Match Info

GREECE: BASKET LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Apollon Patras Indoor Hall (Patras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT


	Apollon Patras		Promitheas Patras

	1	2
	3.1	1.34
	3.4	1.32
	3.04	1.35
	3.43	1.32
	3.2	1.37
	3.34	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.82)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Patras
29.2%

Promitheas Patras
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Patras than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Patras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Promitheas Patras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Apollon Patras - Promitheas Patras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:82

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Basket League (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Winners stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 1.

Apollon Patras is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Promitheas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Apollon Patras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Promitheas is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 437-526.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Patras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 180-195.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Patras BC
Greek Basket League A1
03.02.24	PAOK - Apollon Patras	85:70 ✺
28.01.24	Apollon Patras - Panathinaikos	55:87 ✺
21.01.24	Kolossos Rodou - Apollon Patras	88:60 ✺
13.01.24	Apollon Patras - AEK Athens	83:74 ✺
06.01.24	Aris - Apollon Patras	76:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLWL
- ASP Promitheas Patras
Champions League Basketball
06.02.24	Hapoel Holon - Promitheas Patras	65:74 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.02.24	Promitheas Patras - Olympiacos Piraeus	57:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
30.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Promitheas Patras	90:81 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
27.01.24	Lavrio - Promitheas Patras	89:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.01.24	Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens	80:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
19.11.23	Promitheas Patras - Apollon Patras	106:68
25.03.23	Apollon Patras - Promitheas Patras	68:57
10.12.22	Promitheas Patras - Apollon Patras	80:71
20.03.22	Promitheas Patras - Apollon Patras	80:60
30.10.21	Apollon Patras - Promitheas Patras	59:71
15.02.17	Promitheas Patras - Apollon Patras	65:58
05.11.16	Apollon Patras - Promitheas Patras	53:67

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