Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Holon Toto Arena (Holon)


	Hapoel Holon		Promitheas Patras

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.19	1.61
	2.25	1.62
	2.32	1.65
	2.25	1.6
	2.34	1.59	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.56)	1.61 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Holon
41.8%

Promitheas Patras
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Holon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Holon's form might have worsened.

Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Promitheas Patras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Holon than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Holon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Promitheas Patras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	0%	64%

Hapoel Holon - Promitheas Patras Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Hapoel Holon will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Promitheas will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Promitheas: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Preview

Recent matches Hapoel Holon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Promitheas is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Hapoel Holon have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Holon
Israeli Basketball Super League
03.02.24	Hapoel Holon - Maccabi Tel Aviv	84:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
30.01.24	Hapoel Holon - AEK Athens	79:68 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
26.01.24	Hapoel Holon - Hapoel Eilat	87:71 ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Hapoel Holon	78:61 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
20.01.24	Hapoel Holon - Bnei Herzliya	87:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
04.02.24	Promitheas Patras - Olympiacos Piraeus	57:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
30.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Promitheas Patras	90:81 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
27.01.24	Lavrio - Promitheas Patras	89:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.01.24	Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens	80:79 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
20.01.24	Promitheas Patras - Peristeri BC	75:81 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

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